Americans: Best and Worst Things About a Trump Presidency
PRINCETON, N.J. -- Asked to name the best or most positive thing about a
possible Donald Trump presidency if he were to be elected in 2016, Americans
most commonly volunteer his business background, policies on immigration and
honesty -- that he says what he feels. Other positives mentioned by at least 5%
of Americans are his confidence -- that he doesn't back down -- and that he
would improve the economy. More than four in 10 cannot name anything positive
about a potential Trump presidency.
These results are from a Gallup survey conducted Jan. 6-10, which asked a
nationally representative sample of Americans to say what would be the best and
the worst things about a possible Trump presidency. The substantive responses
can be grouped into two major categories: personal characteristics and Trump's
positions on specific issues, along with smaller categories of political and
other mentions.
Among the issues, Trump's positions on immigration -- exemplified by his
proposals to build a wall along the Mexican border and to restrict Muslims from
entering the country for a time -- are most likely to come through as positive
aspects of a Trump presidency, mentioned by 9%. Some also mention Trump's
ability to affect the economy as a positive, including managing the economy
better, controlling spending, and producing more balanced trade. Others mention
his ability to fight terrorism.
In terms of personal traits, Americans are most likely to talk about Trump's
business background and ability to follow through, that he is honest and tells
it like it is and that he is confident and doesn't back down. A small
percentage say the best thing is that a Trump presidency would be entertaining
and that he is not a career politician. Five percent say Trump would turn
things around, presumably meaning either the country as a whole or as a change
from the current presidency.
A third of Americans, mostly Democrats, specifically say there is
"nothing" they see as the best thing about a Trump presidency, while
another 10% have no opinion.
Negatives Associated With a Trump Presidency Focus Mainly on His
Personality
Americans are much more likely to mention potentially negative aspects of a
Trump presidency than to mention positive aspects -- only 8% say
"nothing" when asked about the downsides of such a presidency, with
another 9% not having an opinion.
The list of possible negatives that would be associated with a Trump
presidency are most focused on his personality and style. Americans say Trump
as president would be too outspoken and impulsive, as well as arrogant,
offensive and rude, ill-tempered and hot-headed, and "stupid and
idiotic." Others mention that he lacks experience, is racist and
discriminates against minorities, and that he would embarrass the U.S. and lose
the respect of other nations.
Issue-wise, Americans focus most on the assertion that a Trump presidency
would have poor foreign relations, and that his immigration policies would be a
negative -- the latter showing that immigration functions for Trump as both a
plus and a minus. Other Americans say he would lead the U.S. into war, mention
his perceived discriminatory policies and that the economy would suffer under a
Trump presidency.
Two other common but nonspecific negatives are "that he would be president,"
which receives 6% of mentions, and "chaos," at 4%. "Chaos"
is a term Trump rival Jeb Bush used to describe a potential Trump presidency in
a recent debate.
Republicans Focus on the Positives; Democrats, on the Negatives
As would be expected, Republicans are much more likely than Democrats to
give a substantive answer to the question asking about the potential positives
associated with a Trump presidency. Over six in 10 Democrats do not name
anything or answer "nothing" in response to the question, more than
three times the percentage of Republicans who don't give an answer.
Republicans' views of Trump's positives break into the two main categories
discussed previously, except with generally higher percentages for each than is
the case for the national population as a whole.
The relatively few Democrats who offer a response when asked about the
positives that would come with a Trump presidency are most likely to mention
his business background, his honesty and his policies on immigration.
Small percentages of Democrats and Republicans sneak a somewhat more
negative tone into their responses, saying the best thing would be that he
would not last long in the office, while a similar number say he would be
entertaining.
Democrats Have Plenty of Opinions on the Negatives Associated With a
Trump Presidency
Democrats have no shortage of views of the negatives of a potential Trump
presidency, with less than 10% unable to provide an answer. Democrats' views of
a Trump presidency's downsides divide across the personal and the issue
categories. Their single highest personality-oriented response is Trump's
perceived racism and discrimination, and their highest issue-related negative
is a tie between his immigration policy and that he would have poor relations
with other countries and poor foreign policy.
Even though Trump is a Republican, those who identify with the GOP are not
shy about suggesting negatives about a possible Trump presidency, with a
relatively small 12% saying "no opinion" and another 11% not giving
an answer.
Implications
Americans are significantly more likely to mention negatives than positives
when asked about a possible Trump presidency, consistent with Trump's having a
significantly
more negative
than positive image among Americans as a whole. A clear majority of
Republicans are able to come up with a negative aspect of Trump in the White
House, also underscoring that by no means do all of those who identify with his
party view him positively.
Trump's outsized personality is a dominant part of the way Americans are
judging him and his campaign for the presidency. In particular, his personal
style and way of expressing himself have become a major part of what Americans
say would be the worst things about a possible Trump presidency. At the same
time, some of Trump's personality traits are viewed as positives, including his
saying what he feels and not backing down from his controversial statements.
All in all, in addition to his positions on issues and policies, Trump
clearly will rise or fall in his quest for the White House to a significant
degree based on how the public ultimately perceives the impact of his
unconventional style and personality. Some obviously see all of this as a
refreshing and important change from the status quo, while many others are
alarmed by what it would mean if Trump were to become the nation's 45
th
president.
Survey Methods
Results for this Gallup poll are based on telephone interviews conducted
Jan. 6-10, 2016, with a random sample of 1,012 adults, aged 18 and older,
living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. For results based on
the total sample of national adults, the margin of sampling error is ±4
percentage points at the 95% confidence level. All reported margins of sampling
error include computed design effects for weighting.
Each sample of national adults includes a minimum quota of 60% cellphone
respondents and 40% landline respondents, with additional minimum quotas by
time zone within region. Landline and cellular telephone numbers are selected
using random-digit-dial methods.
